By Naseem Sowti
The Washington Post
Tuesday 19 July 2005
With high-court debate brewing, new report shows procedure's numbers
down.
A new analysis of the most recent abortion data shows that the number of U.S.
women having the procedure is continuing its decade-long drop and stands at
its lowest level since 1976.
In the year 2002, about 1.29 million women in the U.S. had abortions. In 1990,
that number was 1.61 million.
The data, collected by the Alan Guttmacher Institute, a nonprofit group that
collects information from abortion providers and public sources, show that
for every 1,000 pregnancies that did not result in miscarriage in 2002, there
were 242 abortions. This figure was 245 in 2000 and 280 in 1990. The institute's
mission is to protect reproductive choice, but its reports are considered accurate
across the political spectrum.
With President Bush preparing to nominate at least one new Supreme Court justice
whose presence on the high court could produce new rulings on abortion, the
data are already being interpreted differently by abortion rights advocates
and antiabortion activists. But scientists say it is difficult to determine
why the number of abortions has been dropping.
"There are so many things feeding into" the decline, said Lawrence
Finer, associate director of domestic research at Guttmacher. Possible factors,
he said, include changes in contraceptive technologies and use, changing ideas
about family size and abortion, and reduced access to abortion services. Pregnancy
clinics and abstinence programs may also have contributed to the declines, he
said.
Women with unintended pregnancies are those most likely to get abortions.
According to the Guttmacher report, 47 percent of unintended pregnancies
are aborted. Teenagers, unmarried women, black and Hispanic women, and
those with low incomes are more likely than the population as a whole
to have unintended pregnancies.
The report shows that non-Hispanic white women get about 40 percent of all
U.S. abortions, black women 32 percent and Hispanic women, who can be of any
race, 20 percent. Women of other races account for the other 8 percent. Black
and Hispanic women have higher rates of abortion than non-Hispanic whites,
the report states.
Other facts about U.S. abortions from the Guttmacher report:
There are two main sources of national data on abortion: the Guttmacher
Institute and the CDC. While both are regarded as dependable by major
groups on both sides of the abortion issue, their numbers are different,
and less precise than some other health statistics.
Not all states require reporting of abortions. The District, Maryland, New
Hampshire and New Jersey do not mandate abortion reporting. California does
not collect abortion data at all. Alaska and New Hampshire have not released
statistics since 1998. This affects CDC's data, which is assembled every year
from reports received from state health departments.
Due to differing reporting requirements and data-gathering procedures, abortion
information for the District, Maryland and Virginia does not permit meaningful
comparisons.
Guttmacher produces its reports by contacting abortion providers nationwide;
its reports are considered more comprehensive than the CDC's. But the institute
publishes the data only every four or five years. Neither group has published
data for years beyond 2002.
Despite the inconsistencies of methods, the trends reported by CDC and Guttmacher
correspond closely to each other.